Iowa was never the whole argument on this site. The Trump-matchup graph and the January-front-runner history were meant to survive the caucus night spike.
In spring 2026 the mailbox had a note from someone who had watched the caucus from a London pub, then stayed. 8 December 2023 we archived a few more market ticks so the bars would not rot. Through 2020 we added the reminder that yang2020.com is the campaign of record.
If you came here for the underdog math, the home cards (1976 through 2016) still do that job. If you came here because a life moved after the race, that story belongs next to the odds, not on top of them.